Board Thread:Game Discussion/@comment-10287686-20130822230448/@comment-10287686-20130824033627

219.78.8.242 wrote: Not exactly - mathematically 1500 Rubies is 3 pulls, and the odds of making at least one MTM Prowl is 75%, not 100%. Consider the 2 cases where you don't get a complete Prowl, either R, R, R or A, A, A. The odds of either of that happening is 0.5 X 0.5 X 0.5 or 1/8. Therefore, the odds of you getting either R, R, R or A, A, A is twice 1/8 or 1/4. Therefore, the odds of getting a Prowl or is 1 minus 1/4 or 3/4 or 75%. You can't factor in the first one. The first doesn't matter whether it is R or A. Now hypothetically, if you got a R, you would be hoping for an A. The chance of getting an A is 50% or 1/2 if the bridge isn't rigged. Going by this, it should take 2 space bridges to get an A to complete your R. This logic is reversed if you pull an A first.