Board Thread:Game Discussion/@comment-59.61.168.173-20131108044038/@comment-13248161-20131108140523

The probability of "striking out" on 10 pulls @ 10% chance of getting the desired result each pull is actually 34.8%. So a little more than 1 in 3.

And once you've failed on the first 10 pulls, on the next 10 pulls you've got that same 34.8% chance of striking out again. Probability doesn't apply to past events.