Board Thread:Game Discussion/@comment-184.58.159.118-20130905114258/@comment-11490363-20130905173037

65.246.63.68 wrote:

Dude, i give up. You have no more data than anyone else. You dont have any idea if its a "true" 50/50 nor does anyone else.

You arnt providing any math.. you're provide basic probability information that anyone who completed highschool should know, which, btw, no one is arguing, but is meaningless without knowing the coded odds. (which, by your own statement above, you dont know)

As far as my "wild theories", i dont see a single post of mine claiming anything in that regard other than any mentions to us having no idea what the coding is behind the numbers.

People come to these threads to post their results and generally bitch about their "bad luck", Nothing more.

I shouldnt have even wasted my time after reading your posts on other threads here. Just because we don't know 100% that it IS 50/50 does not mean we can't be reasonably sure it is 50/50 as compared to something else. So no, the odds are NOT meaningless, they DO give us a reasonable picture of what is going on. THAT is what you don't get. It is not black and white.

The more samples we have the more CONFIDENT we can be that it is 50/50 and not 60/40 or 80/20 or whatever. Without seeing the code, we can never be 100% sure, but that does not mean we should just give up, there is still a lot of useful information here if you know how to read it. We can still be reasonably sure that it IS 50/50, though not 100% sure.

Statistics is never about being 100% sure, but about how confident you are, and based on the numbers so far, it shows a high confidence in 50/50 and the confidence decreases as you stray from 50/50 based on the results so far.