Board Thread:Game Discussion/@comment-10727129-20130912233121/@comment-11490363-20130915232718

VegaObscura23 wrote:

And thats what I mean by unpredictable Ranoake, even that chart has the projected drop off by over 10 mil in less then a day. Yeah, the projected stuff in the spreadsheet uses a linear model, which is only good up to the second last day, then you need to adjust for the increased activity, which I have not done yet. But you can certainly tell one thing for sure from the linear model, the final score will ALWAYS be higher. The difference gets smaller and smaller as you get closer to 0 hour.

However, I predict T1 at 55.3M based on the trends of the entire previous campaign episode. Using the previous boss episode would suggest an even higher estimate.

That said, for both event types, one trend is fairly clear: Whatever the score is with 24 hours to go is roughly, within a decent margin of error, half the final score.