Board Thread:Game Discussion/@comment-10276925-20130824204533/@comment-10276925-20130826145339

Optimus2861 wrote: Anyone getting upset at three straight pulls of the same mode of a free card through rubies needs to take a lesson in probability statistics, and chill the heck out. It stinks but it's not proof that the game is rigged.

Feel free to call me by name, I won't take offense. I happen to work specifically in probability, and I understand how you would find 3 straight identical outcomes in a 50-50 chance. In fact all rolls should be independent, so "streaks" that occur will eventually even themselves out. That is provided mobage hasn't written screwy code that isn't in fact 50-50, or not actually independent of the previous rolls. I would not put it past mobage to have code written that raises the chances of a reoccurrence of a card mode as opposed to the receipt of the opposite mode. I have played, like I said, since the UtB event, and since the x3/x5/x7(10) structure, I've seen similar occurrences in the paid bridge repeatedly. Specifically, I have two alt hooks, three alt ultra magnuses, three alt ramjets, and now three alt prowls. The only MTM's I have gotten from several SB tiers are the tantrums and the 3000 coin x5 packs that I've bought.

I've exhausted my patience and my inventory of battle cubes to receive my 1500 ruby medals to throw towards another set of useless alts, so that leaves me very frustrated.

Also, probability expert, what are the chances that I would roll 3 sets for the same outcome? .5^3