Board Thread:Game Discussion/@comment-10276925-20130831002217/@comment-11490363-20130901233302

HypnoCT wrote: Ranoake, I love not only your insinuation that am I incapable of simple math, but also that only your pulls are factual while everyone else's are anecdotal at best. I don't have a "perception" of the cards I've received... I am pretty sure that I actually received them.

Many of the people here have been playing longer and harder than you. While your results may be different, many of us have noticed the patterns of how Mobage does business. Many of us have directly experienced their lousy customer service. It doesn't mean we all hate them necessarily, but it does mean that we share info and try to be informed consumers. And yes you will hear the occasional kvetching, but we are all still here for the IP.

So while I have many pithy remarks, I will try to keep this friendly. I do have to ask though... Are you an employee or affiliated with Mobage somehow? Me thinks thou doth protest too much ;)

The rubies do nothing for me this episode. My stock deck can handle H7 for only 2 boss cubes, while H8 costs me 4 cubes total. I am farming so I'll hang out in H7 and turn all the rubies in at the end. 2000 and counting... I never meant to imply that you did not get the cards you claimed to get. I must have been ambiguous, let me clarify. The perception I am talking about is about whether the results you had were 'fair' or not. You perceived them as unfair, and I was saying that that perception might be in error. Statistics is not basic math, and if you truly understood it, you would not be here griping about what is clearly expected for a 50/50 event bridge with this many people pulling the lever.

I have been playing since the 3rd event, so I think few people have been playing longer, and I play whenever I have free time so likely few play harder, but that is beside the point.

I guess this is my beef. People keep claiming to see patterns but can't back it up with anything other than a 'gut feeling'. My results are only 1 sample true, and the samples we have seen are insufficient to claim ANYTHING really, not 50/50 and not a skewed bridge either. That said, the data we do have is consistent with a 50/50 bridge, that is all I am saying. That is not proof of that percentage, just that it is consistent. I have repeatedly debunked the claim that the bridges are rigged for either bot or alt per episode, which is why I believe the odds are in fact 50/50.

That said, the only thing that *might* make sense is that the X3 and X5 bridges are 50/50 since I have seen few reports of long runs for that, but the X7 bridge seems to have more, but that is not conclusive since there are several things that could explain that anomaly, namely that the X7 bridge is higher profile and so is under more of a spotlight than the others. I choose to believe that it is still 50/50 and you, and others, can choose to believe whichever theory you like.

Haha, I have been accused of being a Mobage spy already, that is why I am currently banned from the Chat room. Wardeal apparently does not take well to anyone disagreeing with him, even politely. But I will say explicitly that I am not, you can choose to believe me or not, I don't really care. I am here to play not to make friends. As you can see I am all about the facts, bias and emotion do not come into play for me. And yes, I too had a 3 bot run for the X7 bridge so I am not totally immune to the odds.

I don't know how many times it can be said. a run of 5 or even 10 of the same card is NOT UNEXPECTED OR RIGGED. If you don't understand this then you do not understand probability and statistics. I am happy to explain it in painful detail to anyone that wants, but really you can just google it. Don't take my word for it.

I don't mind people kvetching, what I mind is people looking at the 50/50 math and then deciding they don't agree with it. There is nothing to agree with. It is true regardless of what people's 'guts' tell them. Even if you believe one of the othe theories, the math debunks them even with this small sample size. That is all I am trying to convey. I am not a Mobage spy, I am just passionate about the truth. It's the engineer in me.

I guess we will never know what the true odds are, and truth be told, if it is 60/40 even, it would be hard to distinguish from 50/50 in this small pool, but I just don't see the data we have supporting all these crazy theories, of checking your cyberdex, or only giving alts or bots per episode, the evidence *clearly* discounts this if you just look at it objectively.

These last 2 events have totally amped my deck. I love these changes. and I may even make a T2 finish this time, first time ever!!! Free to play forever!