Board Thread:Game Discussion/@comment-10276925-20130831002217/@comment-11490363-20130901153138

1xFootSoldierx1 wrote:

4th pull and finally got the bot to MTM an X7. I would gladly trade you a alt for a bot if i could.

Was thinking,  what if it was not 50/50 or even 70/30 for each side of the card but rather a % chance to MTM after X pulls instead? Could they possibly code it to say,  you have X % chance to MTM after Y pulls, and with each pull your X% goes up say 10%?

sort of like how they are able to increase the chances of pulling a raid card from the Tiered Bridge but instead of pulling a raid card, it would look at your deck for what you already have? That is definitely possible. But that would mean there would be less variability than we are seeing. It makes runs even more rare, and that doesn't quite fit the data we have.

Also, a chance to MTM can be converted to an equivalent X/1-X percentage. So using the different terminology is just cosmetic, the math is the same for both. This is not to be confused with one scenario where the percentage (either % MTM or X/1-X) is constant over multiple pulls and another where it increases towards a better chance at MTM over time. In both of those scenarios, the math is the same for either 'interpretation' of the odds.