Board Thread:Game Discussion/@comment-184.58.159.118-20130905114258/@comment-11490363-20130905165158

72.186.87.44 wrote: Here's a question that no one has asked: Has anyone that's complained about ONLY getting one form or another actually tried cashing in medals for 3 or 4 or more characters ALL at the same time in the same bridge? Now, the reason that I'm asking the question is because if you cash them in one at a time, each time is a new event and even if the code is in there that may change something, it doesn't look through what you've already got in your cyberdex and choose to give you the same thing. It just goes on a 50/50 odds to give you one of the characters. Try saving up your medals and cash them in in 2's or 3's and you'll have better luck in getting a set that you can MTM. I've done it twice this event (both on starscreams but on 2 different accounts) and I've come out with MTM sets both times. If you haven't done this, then you don't actually have an example where the luck is anything less than 50/50. If you cash in 2 at a time, you've got a 50/50 chance on getting a matching pair or an opposite pair (robot + alt). You're actually getting a 100% chance of getting one of them in the first one, so no odds are actually placed on the first one. And, if you cash in 3 at a time, then you're in that 25% chance of getting 3 of a kind. I cashed in 3 last event at the same time and got a set plus an extra one which is expected. This is all speculation, there is no reason to believe they use different odds depending on how many you cash in or that if you cash in multiple at once it doesn't look in your cyberdex (which assumes it does otherwise, which is also unsubstantiated speculation). I have cashed in multiple pulls at once and received a mix of alt/bot several times.

Your assertion that 'if you havent done this then..." is irrelevant. if you pull 3 at once or 3 separately, the odds are EXACTLY the same. Still 50 50 for 1 and then 1 more later, and still 25% for one, then one, then one. Or two then one, or one then 2, whatever combination you want, all the same odds.

I love how people say 'i got what was expected' or 'i didn't get what was expected' as though what THEY want or expect is reflected in the actual math. There is no 'expected outcome'. There are just probabilities for each possible one. Some more likely than others, but NONE are 'expected'. This terminology is making it hard for people to assess what the bridge rate actually is. This is a bias that is confusing the calculations.