Board Thread:Current Episode Discussion/@comment-25031250-20141010191436/@comment-25031250-20141011185552

Terminalvertex wrote: EricRobin wrote:

I'm at 6 Torkuli[1] weapons on 6 pulls. This is statistically unrealistic.

Unfortunately, without knowing the rates, we can't actually make that claim. What if it is 91% r4, 5% r5, 4% r6.. Etc?

There is no mention of the chance and it would be naive to assume that all the rarities have equal rates.

We can not talk about things being off statistically with such a minimal dataset of less than 10 or 20 draws.

I got 7 torkuli weps before anything else. Then 1 galv, then 1 beak.

The odds could be 5-10%.

The people that got it after 1 or 2 draws, big deal. After they did the same number of total draws that the higher draw people did, did they have significantly more galv weapons? At least compare the same number of total draws with an appropriate total data set.

Try opening 10,000 gold Ep medals and not getting an r6 raider like me, and then we can talk about statistics.

I'm sorry but I find when people complain about odds without proper data to be very annoying.

Now, this doesn't mean I believe in the prng of the game. I believe the prng is probably as poorly coded as the rest of the game. The games all share source, so it's probably from some other game anyway.

I've opened 3000 medals this event and not a single half of an Ultra Magnus. How do you think I feel? Graduate to big numbers and you earn the right to complain. lol. Term, my sample size is a lot larger so I think I can complain at this point I've pulled the bridge 18 times and got torolkis weapon all 18 times is that a big enough sample? a minute ago