Board Thread:Game Discussion/@comment-10287686-20130905131236/@comment-14093408-20130905151023

So I did quickly the math on the value of the 150 bridge to break even with the other two:

150 = 300*x + 50*(1-x)

100 = 250*x -> x = 0.4

So essentially if the odds to get a Shockwave (regardless of R or A) are 40% or more I'd say the 150 bridge has bigger value than using the other two. Now we have to find out what are the real odds because I doubt Mobage would give this a 50/50. I'm more inclined into thinking they gave it a 1/3 or 1/4 chance on Shockwave which will make the 150 bridge the worst choice.

Is this right or I'm completely off?