Board Thread:Game Discussion/@comment-107.3.143.202-20130905175136/@comment-11482499-20130906042759

Agree. Making informed choices is vital to avoid bitter disappointment. It's one thing if Mobage is lying (and they may be), but it's another if you ignorantly spend - I think in the later case you have less right to feel outraged.

To that end, I typically provide the odds of the space bridge, but this episode I was busy on the first day and anyway it's super obvious Megs isn't cheap. Still, I ran some quick numbers for people to take note of:

Buying the first 15 tiers (all 3 loops but not the final repeating 10-card pack): costs US$94.5. Gives roughly <10% chance of half a megatron.

Buying 25 tiers (all loops, and TEN of the repeating 10-card packs): costs US$394.5. Gives 22% chance of MTMing Megs and 34% chance of getting half a megs, and 23% chance of getting two half Megs.

Yes, those are low odds. To the dude (IP 75.69.61.24) who got MTM Megs for less than US$50, that's incredibly lucky, like being struck by lightning. That's cool, but doesn't "disprove" the statistics. If anything if proves the statistics, since you're the only one so far who MTMed Megs for so cheap.